Juan Pablo Varillas vs Andrea CollariniConcepcion CH Round of 32

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 January 2023
clay
#340ATP
1426ELO
1411Clay ELO
34 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
Varillas J.
3-6 6-2 6-2
Collarini A.
Varillas J.
3662
Collarini A.
6221

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Andrea Collarini 3-6 6-2 6-2 in the Concepcion CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Collarini A.

Collarini A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
11
Break points saved·Dominant
80
54
Break points won·Even
43
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+20 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1411
5.5Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1426
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
8.7
Surface form
8.5
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
0.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
62

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast