Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Jannik SinnerAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
#85ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Tsitsipas S.
6-4 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-3
Sinner J.
Tsitsipas S.
663463
Sinner J.
446632

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Jannik Sinner 6-4 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final, but Stefanos Tsitsipas had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Stefanos Tsitsipas closed it out in five sets, 6–4 6–4 3–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersSFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 3-6 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2023-02-13RotterdamR16hardJannik Sinner6-4 6-3
2022-05-09Rome MastersQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(5) 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4 6-2
2021-04-19BarcelonaSFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2020-09-14Rome MastersR32clayJannik Sinner6-1 6-7(9) 6-2
2019-05-13Rome MastersR32clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Sinner J.
57
Serve
100
39
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
58%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
74%
Aces / match·Even
7.1
7.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
77
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1803
Surface ELO
10.0+461 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
5.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.3
0.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
7.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
43

Tsitsipas S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
R128
Kubler J.
Baez S.
6-46-46-4
Shang J.
Otte O.
6-26-46-727-5
Millman J.
Huesler M.
6-787-56-726-26-3
Norrie C.[11]
Van Assche L.
7-636-06-3
Lestienne C.
Monteiro T.
6-37-626-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Purcell M.
4-66-36-47-611
Chardy J.
Galan D.
1-67-56-16-4
Djere L.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-46-1
Zverev A.[12]
Varillas J.
4-66-15-77-636-4
Murray A.
Berrettini M.[13]
6-36-34-66-777-66
Eubanks C.
Kwon S.
6-36-716-34-66-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Cachin P.
7-646-17-63
Svrcina D.
Munar J.
6-36-26-2
Wolf J.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-47-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-17-666-2
Holt B.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-33-66-3
Fucsovics M.
Coria F.
4-67-52-67-666-2
Sonego L.
Borges N.
7-646-36-766-1
Nadal R.[1]
Draper J.
7-52-66-46-1
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-657-611-66-7106-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Ymer M.
6-46-27-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-26-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Altmaier D.
6-36-36-757-66
Hurkacz H.[10]
Martinez P.
7-616-26-2
Daniel T.
Escobedo E.
7-56-23-66-3
Shapovalov D.[20]
Lajovic D.
6-44-66-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Garin C.
6-41-66-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-36-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Giron M.
6-06-16-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Halys Q.
6-36-47-66
Hijikata R.
Hanfmann Y.
4-64-66-37-656-3
Griekspoor T.
Kotov P.
6-37-636-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
Ivashka I.
6-33-67-56-3
Harris L.
Musetti L.[17]
6-46-16-702-67-64
Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
3-66-36-46-4
Sinner J.[15]
Edmund K.
6-46-06-2
Lehecka J.
Coric B.[21]
6-36-36-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
6-46-46-3
Moutet C.
Wu Y.
6-45-76-24-67-5
Molcan A.
Wawrinka S.
6-736-31-67-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Pospisil V.
1-67-647-636-3
Rublev A.[5]
Thiem D.
6-36-46-2
Evans D.[25]
Bagnis F.
6-44-66-46-4
Kudla D.
Safiullin R.
3-67-57-666-3
Humbert U.
Gasquet R.
6-36-46-3
Cressy M.
Ramos A.
7-627-53-66-3
Rune H.[9]
Krajinovic F.
6-26-36-4
Bonzi B.
Bellucci M.
4-66-37-656-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Hsu Y.
6-26-26-3
Dimitrov G.[27]
Karatsev A.
7-637-56-2
Couacaud E.
Dellien H.
6-47-56-0
Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
Jarry N.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
Brooksby J.
Oconnell C.
3-66-26-36-2
Ruud C.[2]
Machac T.
6-37-666-756-3
Fritz T.[8]
Basilashvili N.
6-46-24-67-5
Mmoh M.
Lokoli L.
4-62-67-676-46-2
Mannarino A.
Isner J.
6-757-686-26-2
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Sousa J.
6-36-26-2