Shintaro Mochizuki vs Keegan SmithNonthaburi 3 CH Qualifying Round 2

Nonthaburi 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#204ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Mochizuki S.
6-3 7-5
Smith K.
Mochizuki S.
672
Smith K.
350

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Keegan Smith 6-3 7-5 in the Nonthaburi 3 CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Smith K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
84
Break points won·Dominant
55
3
Deciding sets·Even
47
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+31 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1395
6.9Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
9.3
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
84

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Smith K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast