Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
Hubert Hurkacz
POL10
Hubert Hurkacz
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Denis Shapovalov
CAN20
Denis Shapovalov
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Hurkacz H.
7-6 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3
Shapovalov D.
Hurkacz H.
7761463
Shapovalov D.
6346632

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-6 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39, defending last year's quarter-final. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz closed it out in five sets, 7–6 6–4 1–6 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(0) 4-6 6-1
2021-03-22Miami MastersR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(6)
2021-03-15DubaiR16hardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-3
2019-08-19Winston-SalemSFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(3) 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Shapovalov D.
67
Serve
21
0
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Hurkacz H.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.6
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 147). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hurkacz H.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
40
71
Deciding sets·Even
94
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hurkacz H.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Shapovalov D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
5.7+49 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1771
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.0
Surface form
5.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
6.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hurkacz H.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Hurkacz H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Djokovic N.[4]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
6-37-647-65
Semi-finals
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Khachanov K.[18]
7-626-46-766-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Paul T.
7-56-16-2
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.[18]
Korda S.[29]
7-656-33-0
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Lehecka J.
6-37-626-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-16-26-4
Paul T.
Shelton B.
7-666-35-76-4
R16
Shelton B.
Wolf J.
6-756-26-747-646-2
Khachanov K.[18]
Nishioka Y.[31]
6-06-07-64
Korda S.[29]
Hurkacz H.[10]
3-66-36-21-67-67
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Sinner J.[15]
6-46-43-64-66-3
Lehecka J.
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
4-66-37-627-63
Djokovic N.[4]
De Minaur A.[22]
6-26-16-2
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.[24]
6-24-66-27-5
Rublev A.[5]
Rune H.[9]
6-33-66-34-67-69
R32
Wolf J.
Mmoh M.
6-46-16-2
De Minaur A.[22]
Bonzi B.
7-606-26-1
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Murray A.
6-16-776-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Dimitrov G.[27]
7-676-36-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Mcdonald M.
7-666-36-2
Khachanov K.[18]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-36-43-67-69
Hurkacz H.[10]
Shapovalov D.[20]
7-636-41-64-66-3
Korda S.[29]
Medvedev D.[7]
7-676-37-64
Sinner J.[15]
Fucsovics M.
4-64-66-16-26-0
Lehecka J.
Norrie C.[11]
6-786-33-66-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Cerundolo F.[28]
6-13-66-16-4
Rublev A.[5]
Evans D.[25]
6-46-26-3
Rune H.[9]
Humbert U.
6-46-27-65
Shelton B.
Popyrin A.
6-37-646-4
Paul T.
Brooksby J.
6-16-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Griekspoor T.
6-27-656-3
R64
Shapovalov D.[20]
Daniel T.
6-37-637-5
Korda S.[29]
Watanuki Y.
6-27-56-4
Rune H.[9]
Cressy M.
7-56-46-4
Bonzi B.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
4-64-67-656-17-64
De Minaur A.[22]
Mannarino A.
7-634-66-46-1
Mmoh M.
Zverev A.[12]
6-716-46-36-2
Paul T.
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
6-22-66-746-36-4
Dimitrov G.[27]
Djere L.
6-36-26-0
Murray A.
Kokkinakis T.
4-66-747-656-37-5
Nishioka Y.[31]
Svrcina D.
6-36-46-2
Hurkacz H.[10]
Sonego L.
3-67-632-66-36-3
Mcdonald M.
Nadal R.[1]
6-46-47-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Kubler J.
6-45-76-46-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Millman J.
7-56-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Hijikata R.
6-36-06-2
Griekspoor T.
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
6-46-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Harris L.
6-26-35-76-4
Sinner J.[15]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-26-2
Norrie C.[11]
Lestienne C.
6-33-67-626-3
Lehecka J.
Eubanks C.
6-46-43-66-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Moutet C.
3-66-46-27-5
Rublev A.[5]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-26-46-726-3
Popyrin A.
Fritz T.[8]
6-747-626-46-766-2
Shelton B.
Jarry N.
7-637-637-5
Wolf J.
Schwartzman D.[23]
6-16-46-4
Brooksby J.
Ruud C.[2]
6-37-56-746-2
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Molcan A.
3-63-66-36-26-2
Humbert U.
Kudla D.
6-26-756-26-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Shang J.
6-46-46-1
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Holt B.
4-62-66-36-26-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Couacaud E.
6-16-756-26-0
Evans D.[25]
Chardy J.
6-46-46-1
R128
Kubler J.
Baez S.
6-46-46-4
Shang J.
Otte O.
6-26-46-727-5
Millman J.
Huesler M.
6-787-56-726-26-3
Norrie C.[11]
Van Assche L.
7-636-06-3
Lestienne C.
Monteiro T.
6-37-626-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Purcell M.
4-66-36-47-611
Chardy J.
Galan D.
1-67-56-16-4
Djere L.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-46-1
Zverev A.[12]
Varillas J.
4-66-15-77-636-4
Murray A.
Berrettini M.[13]
6-36-34-66-777-66
Eubanks C.
Kwon S.
6-36-716-34-66-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Cachin P.
7-646-17-63
Svrcina D.
Munar J.
6-36-26-2
Wolf J.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-47-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-17-666-2
Holt B.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-33-66-3
Fucsovics M.
Coria F.
4-67-52-67-666-2
Sonego L.
Borges N.
7-646-36-766-1
Nadal R.[1]
Draper J.
7-52-66-46-1
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-657-611-66-7106-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Ymer M.
6-46-27-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-26-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Altmaier D.
6-36-36-757-66
Hurkacz H.[10]
Martinez P.
7-616-26-2
Daniel T.
Escobedo E.
7-56-23-66-3
Shapovalov D.[20]
Lajovic D.
6-44-66-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Garin C.
6-41-66-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-36-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Giron M.
6-06-16-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Halys Q.
6-36-47-66
Hijikata R.
Hanfmann Y.
4-64-66-37-656-3
Griekspoor T.
Kotov P.
6-37-636-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
Ivashka I.
6-33-67-56-3
Harris L.
Musetti L.[17]
6-46-16-702-67-64
Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
3-66-36-46-4
Sinner J.[15]
Edmund K.
6-46-06-2
Lehecka J.
Coric B.[21]
6-36-36-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
6-46-46-3
Moutet C.
Wu Y.
6-45-76-24-67-5
Molcan A.
Wawrinka S.
6-736-31-67-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Pospisil V.
1-67-647-636-3
Rublev A.[5]
Thiem D.
6-36-46-2
Evans D.[25]
Bagnis F.
6-44-66-46-4
Kudla D.
Safiullin R.
3-67-57-666-3
Humbert U.
Gasquet R.
6-36-46-3
Cressy M.
Ramos A.
7-627-53-66-3
Rune H.[9]
Krajinovic F.
6-26-36-4
Bonzi B.
Bellucci M.
4-66-37-656-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Hsu Y.
6-26-26-3
Dimitrov G.[27]
Karatsev A.
7-637-56-2
Couacaud E.
Dellien H.
6-47-56-0
Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
Jarry N.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
Brooksby J.
Oconnell C.
3-66-26-36-2
Ruud C.[2]
Machac T.
6-37-666-756-3
Fritz T.[8]
Basilashvili N.
6-46-24-67-5
Mmoh M.
Lokoli L.
4-62-67-676-46-2
Mannarino A.
Isner J.
6-757-686-26-2
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Sousa J.
6-36-26-2