Sebastian Korda vs Hubert HurkaczAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Korda S.
3-6 6-3 6-2 1-6 7-6
Hurkacz H.
Korda S.
3661793
Hurkacz H.
6326672

Sebastian Korda defeated Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-3 6-2 1-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, defending last year's round of 32. Sebastian Korda claimed a first win over Hubert Hurkacz in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR32hardHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-7(6) 6-3
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersSFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2021-01-04Delray BeachFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Hurkacz H.
61
Serve
67
58
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
13.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 174). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
73
40
Deciding sets·Even
96
94
Tiebreaks·Even
94
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+39 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1727
6.3Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1798
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.4
Surface form
6.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
R128
Kubler J.
Baez S.
6-46-46-4
Shang J.
Otte O.
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Millman J.
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Lestienne C.
Monteiro T.
6-37-626-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Purcell M.
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Chardy J.
Galan D.
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Djere L.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-46-1
Zverev A.[12]
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4-66-15-77-636-4
Murray A.
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6-36-34-66-777-66
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Carreno Busta P.[14]
Cachin P.
7-646-17-63
Svrcina D.
Munar J.
6-36-26-2
Wolf J.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-47-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-17-666-2
Holt B.
Vukic A.
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Nishioka Y.[31]
Ymer M.
6-46-27-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-26-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Altmaier D.
6-36-36-757-66
Hurkacz H.[10]
Martinez P.
7-616-26-2
Daniel T.
Escobedo E.
7-56-23-66-3
Shapovalov D.[20]
Lajovic D.
6-44-66-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Garin C.
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Watanuki Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-36-2
Medvedev D.[7]
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6-06-16-2
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Halys Q.
6-36-47-66
Hijikata R.
Hanfmann Y.
4-64-66-37-656-3
Griekspoor T.
Kotov P.
6-37-636-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
Ivashka I.
6-33-67-56-3
Harris L.
Musetti L.[17]
6-46-16-702-67-64
Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
3-66-36-46-4
Sinner J.[15]
Edmund K.
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Lehecka J.
Coric B.[21]
6-36-36-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
6-46-46-3
Moutet C.
Wu Y.
6-45-76-24-67-5
Molcan A.
Wawrinka S.
6-736-31-67-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Pospisil V.
1-67-647-636-3
Rublev A.[5]
Thiem D.
6-36-46-2
Evans D.[25]
Bagnis F.
6-44-66-46-4
Kudla D.
Safiullin R.
3-67-57-666-3
Humbert U.
Gasquet R.
6-36-46-3
Cressy M.
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7-627-53-66-3
Rune H.[9]
Krajinovic F.
6-26-36-4
Bonzi B.
Bellucci M.
4-66-37-656-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Hsu Y.
6-26-26-3
Dimitrov G.[27]
Karatsev A.
7-637-56-2
Couacaud E.
Dellien H.
6-47-56-0
Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
Jarry N.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
Brooksby J.
Oconnell C.
3-66-26-36-2
Ruud C.[2]
Machac T.
6-37-666-756-3
Fritz T.[8]
Basilashvili N.
6-46-24-67-5
Mmoh M.
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4-62-67-676-46-2
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6-757-686-26-2
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6-36-26-2