Danielle Collins vs Karolina Muchova — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 64
Danielle Collins
USA13
Danielle Collins
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Karolina Muchova
CZE
Karolina Muchova
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Collins D.
6-7 6-2 7-6
Muchova K.
Collins D.
616782
Muchova K.
772661

Danielle Collins defeated Karolina Muchova 6-7 6-2 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collins D.Muchova K.
—
Serve
70
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Collins D.Muchova K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Collins D.Muchova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
95
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Collins D.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Muchova K.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1772
Surface ELO
8.4+262 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2066
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
7.6
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.3
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Collins D.Muchova K.
Freshness·
—
60

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rybakina E.[22]
4-66-36-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[5]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Azarenka V.[24]
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[22]
Ostapenko J.[17]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Pliskova K.[30]
6-37-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Vekic D.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Pegula J.[3]
6-46-1
R16
Linette M.
Garcia C.[4]
7-636-4
Sabalenka A.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
7-56-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.[17]
Gauff C.[7]
7-56-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Zhu L.
4-66-16-4
Vekic D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-21-66-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Zhang S.[23]
6-06-4
Pegula J.[3]
Krejcikova B.[20]
7-56-2
R32
Rybakina E.[22]
Collins D.[13]
6-25-76-2
Pegula J.[3]
Kostyuk M.
6-06-2
Krejcikova B.[20]
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Keys M.[10]
1-66-26-1
Zhu L.
Sakkari M.[6]
7-631-66-4
Pliskova K.[30]
Gracheva V.
6-46-2
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[19]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[12]
Giorgi C.
6-27-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Mertens E.[26]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-06-1
Garcia C.[4]
Siegemund L.
1-66-36-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Vondrousova M.
7-52-66-3
Vekic D.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[7]
Pera B.
6-36-2
Zhang S.[23]
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Ostapenko J.[17]
Baindl K.
6-36-0
R64
Baindl K.
Mcnally C.
6-17-64
Gauff C.[7]
Raducanu E.
6-37-64
Pegula J.[3]
Sasnovich A.
6-27-65
Keys M.[10]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rogers S.
6-36-1
Krejcikova B.[20]
Burel C.
6-46-1
Vekic D.
Samsonova L.[18]
6-36-0
Kostyuk M.
Gadecki O.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Kontaveit A.[16]
3-66-36-4
Bucsa C.
Andreescu B.
2-67-676-4
Collins D.[13]
Muchova K.
6-716-27-66
Ostapenko J.[17]
Bondar A.
7-655-76-0
Pera B.
Zheng Q.[29]
6-46-4
Zhu L.
Teichmann J.[32]
6-26-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Shnaider D.
3-67-56-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Putintseva Y.
6-07-5
Zhang S.[23]
Martic P.
6-36-3
Alexandrova E.[19]
Townsend T.
1-66-26-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.[27]
5-77-56-3
Garcia C.[4]
Fernandez L.
7-657-5
Giorgi C.
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-3
Bencic B.[12]
Liu C.
7-636-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[2]
6-15-76-1
Volynets K.
Kudermetova V.[9]
6-42-66-2
Gracheva V.
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Mertens E.[26]
Davis L.
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Kvitova P.[15]
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[22]
Juvan K.
6-26-1
R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4