Francesco Maestrelli vs Flavio CobolliTenerife 1 CH Round of 16

Tenerife 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Maestrelli F.
6-3 7-5
Cobolli F.
Maestrelli F.
672
Cobolli F.
350

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-3 7-5 in the Tenerife 1 CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maestrelli F.Cobolli F.
Serve
20
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Clear edge
14
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
8.0+259 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
71

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast