Benjamin Bonzi vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
Benjamin Bonzi
FRA
Benjamin Bonzi
#102ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP14
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Bonzi B.
4-6 4-6 7-6 6-1 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Bonzi B.
44776773
Carreno Busta P.
66651642

Benjamin Bonzi defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 4-6 4-6 7-6 6-1 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bonzi B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bonzi B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bonzi B.Carreno Busta P.
27
Serve
21
32
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bonzi B.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bonzi B.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Dominant
27
61
Deciding sets·Even
77
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bonzi B.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1713
Surface ELO
5.1+31 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
8.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bonzi B.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Even
95
92

Bonzi B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Djokovic N.[4]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
6-37-647-65
Semi-finals
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Khachanov K.[18]
7-626-46-766-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Paul T.
7-56-16-2
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.[18]
Korda S.[29]
7-656-33-0
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Lehecka J.
6-37-626-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-16-26-4
Paul T.
Shelton B.
7-666-35-76-4
R16
Shelton B.
Wolf J.
6-756-26-747-646-2
Khachanov K.[18]
Nishioka Y.[31]
6-06-07-64
Korda S.[29]
Hurkacz H.[10]
3-66-36-21-67-67
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Sinner J.[15]
6-46-43-64-66-3
Lehecka J.
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
4-66-37-627-63
Djokovic N.[4]
De Minaur A.[22]
6-26-16-2
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.[24]
6-24-66-27-5
Rublev A.[5]
Rune H.[9]
6-33-66-34-67-69
R32
Wolf J.
Mmoh M.
6-46-16-2
De Minaur A.[22]
Bonzi B.
7-606-26-1
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Murray A.
6-16-776-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Dimitrov G.[27]
7-676-36-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Mcdonald M.
7-666-36-2
Khachanov K.[18]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-36-43-67-69
Hurkacz H.[10]
Shapovalov D.[20]
7-636-41-64-66-3
Korda S.[29]
Medvedev D.[7]
7-676-37-64
Sinner J.[15]
Fucsovics M.
4-64-66-16-26-0
Lehecka J.
Norrie C.[11]
6-786-33-66-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Cerundolo F.[28]
6-13-66-16-4
Rublev A.[5]
Evans D.[25]
6-46-26-3
Rune H.[9]
Humbert U.
6-46-27-65
Shelton B.
Popyrin A.
6-37-646-4
Paul T.
Brooksby J.
6-16-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Griekspoor T.
6-27-656-3
R64
Shapovalov D.[20]
Daniel T.
6-37-637-5
Korda S.[29]
Watanuki Y.
6-27-56-4
Rune H.[9]
Cressy M.
7-56-46-4
Bonzi B.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
4-64-67-656-17-64
De Minaur A.[22]
Mannarino A.
7-634-66-46-1
Mmoh M.
Zverev A.[12]
6-716-46-36-2
Paul T.
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
6-22-66-746-36-4
Dimitrov G.[27]
Djere L.
6-36-26-0
Murray A.
Kokkinakis T.
4-66-747-656-37-5
Nishioka Y.[31]
Svrcina D.
6-36-46-2
Hurkacz H.[10]
Sonego L.
3-67-632-66-36-3
Mcdonald M.
Nadal R.[1]
6-46-47-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Kubler J.
6-45-76-46-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Millman J.
7-56-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Hijikata R.
6-36-06-2
Griekspoor T.
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
6-46-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Harris L.
6-26-35-76-4
Sinner J.[15]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-26-2
Norrie C.[11]
Lestienne C.
6-33-67-626-3
Lehecka J.
Eubanks C.
6-46-43-66-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Moutet C.
3-66-46-27-5
Rublev A.[5]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-26-46-726-3
Popyrin A.
Fritz T.[8]
6-747-626-46-766-2
Shelton B.
Jarry N.
7-637-637-5
Wolf J.
Schwartzman D.[23]
6-16-46-4
Brooksby J.
Ruud C.[2]
6-37-56-746-2
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Molcan A.
3-63-66-36-26-2
Humbert U.
Kudla D.
6-26-756-26-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Shang J.
6-46-46-1
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Holt B.
4-62-66-36-26-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Couacaud E.
6-16-756-26-0
Evans D.[25]
Chardy J.
6-46-46-1
R128
Kubler J.
Baez S.
6-46-46-4
Shang J.
Otte O.
6-26-46-727-5
Millman J.
Huesler M.
6-787-56-726-26-3
Norrie C.[11]
Van Assche L.
7-636-06-3
Lestienne C.
Monteiro T.
6-37-626-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Purcell M.
4-66-36-47-611
Chardy J.
Galan D.
1-67-56-16-4
Djere L.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-46-1
Zverev A.[12]
Varillas J.
4-66-15-77-636-4
Murray A.
Berrettini M.[13]
6-36-34-66-777-66
Eubanks C.
Kwon S.
6-36-716-34-66-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Cachin P.
7-646-17-63
Svrcina D.
Munar J.
6-36-26-2
Wolf J.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-47-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-17-666-2
Holt B.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-33-66-3
Fucsovics M.
Coria F.
4-67-52-67-666-2
Sonego L.
Borges N.
7-646-36-766-1
Nadal R.[1]
Draper J.
7-52-66-46-1
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-657-611-66-7106-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Ymer M.
6-46-27-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-26-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Altmaier D.
6-36-36-757-66
Hurkacz H.[10]
Martinez P.
7-616-26-2
Daniel T.
Escobedo E.
7-56-23-66-3
Shapovalov D.[20]
Lajovic D.
6-44-66-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Garin C.
6-41-66-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-36-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Giron M.
6-06-16-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Halys Q.
6-36-47-66
Hijikata R.
Hanfmann Y.
4-64-66-37-656-3
Griekspoor T.
Kotov P.
6-37-636-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
Ivashka I.
6-33-67-56-3
Harris L.
Musetti L.[17]
6-46-16-702-67-64
Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
3-66-36-46-4
Sinner J.[15]
Edmund K.
6-46-06-2
Lehecka J.
Coric B.[21]
6-36-36-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
6-46-46-3
Moutet C.
Wu Y.
6-45-76-24-67-5
Molcan A.
Wawrinka S.
6-736-31-67-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Pospisil V.
1-67-647-636-3
Rublev A.[5]
Thiem D.
6-36-46-2
Evans D.[25]
Bagnis F.
6-44-66-46-4
Kudla D.
Safiullin R.
3-67-57-666-3
Humbert U.
Gasquet R.
6-36-46-3
Cressy M.
Ramos A.
7-627-53-66-3
Rune H.[9]
Krajinovic F.
6-26-36-4
Bonzi B.
Bellucci M.
4-66-37-656-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Hsu Y.
6-26-26-3
Dimitrov G.[27]
Karatsev A.
7-637-56-2
Couacaud E.
Dellien H.
6-47-56-0
Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
Jarry N.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
Brooksby J.
Oconnell C.
3-66-26-36-2
Ruud C.[2]
Machac T.
6-37-666-756-3
Fritz T.[8]
Basilashvili N.
6-46-24-67-5
Mmoh M.
Lokoli L.
4-62-67-676-46-2
Mannarino A.
Isner J.
6-757-686-26-2
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Sousa J.
6-36-26-2