Victoria Azarenka vs Madison KeysAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
#433WTA
1875ELO
1839Hard ELO
36 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Azarenka V.
1-6 6-2 6-1
Keys M.
Azarenka V.
1662
Keys M.
6211

Victoria Azarenka defeated Madison Keys 1-6 6-2 6-1 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, defending last year's semi-final. Victoria Azarenka extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-20DubaiR16hardMadison Keys6-2 6-1
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R16hardVictoria Azarenka6-4 6-7(4) 6-1
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayVictoria Azarenka6-2 6-2
2018-03-19MiamiR64hardVictoria Azarenka7-6(5) 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Azarenka V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Azarenka V.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Azarenka V.Keys M.
Serve
36
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
94
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1839
Surface ELO
5.8+81 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1875
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1987
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.5
Surface form
8.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
5.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.4
Country comfort
6.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4