Matteo Arnaldi vs Alex Bolt — Australian Open Qualifying Round 2

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA22
Matteo Arnaldi
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Alex Bolt
AUS
Alex Bolt
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Arnaldi M.
5-7 7-5 6-4
Bolt A.
Arnaldi M.
5762
Bolt A.
7541

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Alex Bolt 5-7 7-5 6-4 in the Australian Open qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Bolt A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Bolt A.
23
Serve
—
22
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Bolt A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (195 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Bolt A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
44
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Dominant
51
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Bolt A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+192 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1541
6.5Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1588
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
2.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Bolt A.
Freshness·
97
—

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
Q3
Shang J.
Piros Z.
6-36-4
Krutykh O.
Kudla D.[6]
3-66-46-4
Purcell M.
Arnaldi M.[22]
6-46-3
Svrcina D.
Riedi L.
6-06-4
Watanuki Y.[30]
Varillas J.[5]
6-36-4
Escobedo E.
Kotov P.[11]
6-37-65
Jarry N.
Nava E.
7-636-3
Holt B.
Trungelliti M.
6-36-0
Hsu Y.
Muller A.
7-646-4
Bellucci M.
Darderi L.
6-46-1
Vukic A.[21]
Mmoh M.[9]
6-47-5
Hanfmann Y.[19]
Gojowczyk P.
6-26-2
Struff J.
Schoolkate T.
6-16-4
Bergs Z.[20]
Andreev A.
6-16-2
Lokoli L.
Ofner S.
6-37-65
Couacaud E.
Stricker D.[12]
7-627-67
Q2
Schoolkate T.
Brancaccio R.
6-746-47-5
Ofner S.
Tabilo A.[1]
6-47-64
Darderi L.
Sweeny D.
7-51-66-1
Bergs Z.[20]
Barrios Vera T.
6-43-66-2
Piros Z.
Pellegrino A.
6-27-5
Couacaud E.
Klahn B.
6-34-66-4
Hsu Y.
Ymer E.[18]
7-647-64
Bellucci M.
Passaro F.[13]
7-656-3
Escobedo E.
Noguchi R.
6-36-4
Krutykh O.
Mager G.
6-27-63
Arnaldi M.[22]
Bolt A.
5-77-56-4
Riedi L.
Zeppieri G.
3-67-647-611
Trungelliti M.
Polmans M.
3-66-26-3
Varillas J.[5]
Galarneau A.
6-786-36-4
Kudla D.[6]
Taberner C.
7-56-3
Jarry N.
Skatov T.[29]
4-67-56-1
Struff J.
Gomez E.[4]
6-16-4
Vukic A.[21]
Tirante T.
7-646-3
Lokoli L.
Tu L.
6-16-766-2
Svrcina D.
Kicker N.
2-67-682-0
Shang J.
Verdasco F.[16]
6-32-66-4
Nava E.
Sugita Y.
6-33-66-3
Watanuki Y.[30]
Kukushkin M.
4-67-636-3
Kotov P.[11]
Laaksonen H.
7-676-2
Mmoh M.[9]
Paire B.
6-47-61
Andreev A.
Rodionov J.[15]
6-46-1
Muller A.
Gaston H.[7]
6-24-0
Stricker D.[12]
Krueger M.
6-47-64
Holt B.
Elias G.
6-27-65
Gojowczyk P.
Walton A.
2-66-26-4
Purcell M.
Dzumhur D.
6-47-5
Hanfmann Y.[19]
Diaz Acosta F.
6-726-37-5
Q1
Paire B.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-46-757-5
Mmoh M.[9]
Kuzuhara B.
6-16-0
Diaz Acosta F.
Brouwer G.
7-666-4
Elias G.
Uchida K.
6-757-636-1
Verdasco F.[16]
Serdarusic N.
3-66-46-2
Ymer E.[18]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Galarneau A.
Peniston R.
7-656-2
Trungelliti M.
Blancaneaux G.
7-56-1
Sugita Y.
Gombos N.[10]
6-46-1
Gomez E.[4]
Broady L.
6-36-747-67
Bergs Z.[20]
Jin J.
7-636-1
Barrios Vera T.
Zekic M.
6-26-2
Varillas J.[5]
Marcora R.
3-66-37-65
Walton A.
Andujar P.[14]
6-16-2
Kudla D.[6]
Jasika O.
6-16-1
Couacaud E.
Grenier H.[28]
5-77-57-63
Brancaccio R.
Agamenone F.[26]
6-46-1
Dzumhur D.
Kuzmanov D.
6-36-1
Svrcina D.
Jubb P.
6-31-66-4
Gojowczyk P.
Pham D.
6-26-2
Tirante T.
Mena F.
6-16-1
Lokoli L.
Bellier A.
6-36-3
Shang J.
Marozsan F.
6-47-62
Tu L.
Kovalik J.[25]
6-26-2
Andreev A.
Maestrelli F.
7-654-67-65
Ofner S.
Meligeni Alves F.
7-666-4
Piros Z.
Escoffier A.
2-66-37-5
Riedi L.
Van Rijthoven T.[8]
6-33-0
Purcell M.
Cecchinato M.[2]
6-23-2
Passaro F.[13]
Rosol L.
6-33-66-3
Gaston H.[7]
Gerasimov E.
6-16-1
Kotov P.[11]
Olivieri G.
7-656-2
Jarry N.
Virtanen O.
5-76-47-66
Struff J.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-4
Rodionov J.[15]
Ionel N.
7-616-4
Krutykh O.
Kozlov S.
7-56-2
Sweeny D.
Kopriva V.[27]
6-16-1
Darderi L.
Ficovich J.
7-636-3
Stricker D.[12]
Stebe C.
6-36-4
Laaksonen H.
Bonadio R.
6-46-4
Hsu Y.
Furness E.
7-656-2
Escobedo E.
Nardi L.[23]
6-36-1
Taberner C.
Kovacevic A.
7-57-64
Muller A.
Mccabe J.
7-626-746-3
Klahn B.
Ferreira Silva F.
6-37-65
Kicker N.
Delbonis F.[17]
6-26-4
Holt B.
Albot R.[3]
5-76-36-4
Schoolkate T.
Coppejans K.
6-777-56-4
Tabilo A.[1]
Milojevic N.
6-06-2
Kukushkin M.
Duckworth J.
7-56-4
Zeppieri G.
Rodriguez Taverna S.
6-46-3
Krueger M.
Cobolli F.
6-06-4
Skatov T.[29]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-36-4
Vukic A.[21]
Diallo G.
6-36-4
Watanuki Y.[30]
Sekulic P.
6-46-2
Hanfmann Y.[19]
Marterer M.
6-40-0
Noguchi R.
Winter E.
7-56-1
Bolt A.
Olivo R.
6-16-2
Bellucci M.
Wu T.
6-36-4
Polmans M.
Klein L.[24]
6-36-4
Nava E.
Vavassori A.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.[22]
Ritschard A.
6-37-5
Pellegrino A.
Guinard M.[31]
7-675-77-64
Mager G.
Misolic F.[32]
6-23-67-66