Tommy Paul vs Christopher OconnellAdelaide 2 Round of 32

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Round of 32
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
1673ELO
1657Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Paul T.
6-4 7-5
Oconnell C.
Paul T.
672
Oconnell C.
450

Tommy Paul defeated Christopher Oconnell 6-4 7-5 in the Adelaide 2 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardTommy Paul6-2 3-6 6-1 6-7(5) 7-5
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayTommy Paul6-2 6-4 4-6 4-6 10-8

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Oconnell C.

Oconnell C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Oconnell C.
71
Serve
20
54
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
7.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
49
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
87
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
38
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+224 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1657
8.3Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast