Daniel Michalski vs Shintaro MochizukiNonthaburi 2 CH Round of 32

Nonthaburi 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#299ATP
1435ELO
1426Hard ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Michalski D.
3-6 7-5 6-3
Mochizuki S.
Michalski D.
3762
Mochizuki S.
6531

Daniel Michalski defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Nonthaburi 2 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michalski D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Michalski D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
52
Break points saved·Dominant
24
74
Break points won·Dominant
26
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
47
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
62
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Hard Elo 1425
3.6Overall Elo 1435
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
86

Michalski D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast