Mikael Ymer vs Mackenzie McdonaldAdelaide 2 Round of 16

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Round of 16
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Ymer M.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Ymer M.
37762
Mcdonald M.
66231

Mikael Ymer defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 3-6 7-6 6-3 in the Adelaide 2 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in defending last year's round of 32. Mikael Ymer extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneQFgrassMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 3-6 6-3
2020-01-13AucklandQ2hardMikael Ymer6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ymer M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ymer M.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Slight edge
71
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
29
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.7
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast