Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Daniel EvansAdelaide 2 Round of 32

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Round of 32
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#501ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Mcdonald M.
7-5 7-5
Evans D.
Mcdonald M.
772
Evans D.
550

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Daniel Evans 7-5 7-5 in the Adelaide 2 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140, defending last year's round of 32. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Daniel Evans in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardDaniel Evans3-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve advantage — Mcdonald M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Evans D.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
73
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Slight edge
66
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
44
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+42 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1562
5.4Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1588
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Evans D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast