Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Jasmine PaoliniHobart Round of 16

Hobart · WTA · Round of 16
#68WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Cocciaretto E.
6-2 6-1
Paolini J.
Cocciaretto E.
662
Paolini J.
210

Elisabetta Cocciaretto defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-1 in the Hobart round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Elisabetta Cocciaretto claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26ParmaR16clayJasmine Paolini4-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Cocciaretto E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Cocciaretto E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cocciaretto E.Paolini J.
42
Serve
31
61
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
89
Break points saved·Even
85
87
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 61 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1773
Surface ELO
6.3+100 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Cocciaretto E.: 15 days rest · Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 76%