Soon Woo Kwon vs Pablo Carreno BustaAdelaide 2 Round of 16

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Round of 16
1744ELO
1716Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Kwon S.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Kwon S.
3662
Carreno Busta P.
6441

Soon Woo Kwon defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Adelaide 2 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Soon Woo Kwon claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-23Winston-SalemR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 3-6 6-4
2021-04-05MarbellaQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Kwon S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kwon S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kwon S.Carreno Busta P.
Serve
21
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (57 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
78
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Dominant
33
61
Deciding sets·Even
77
80
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 47 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1716
Surface ELO
5.3+28 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1801
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
92

Kwon S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast