Federico Coria vs Luca Van AsscheAuckland Qualifying Round 1

Auckland · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#783ATP
1537ELO
1449Hard ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#86ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
Coria F.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Van Assche L.
Coria F.
3662
Van Assche L.
6421

Federico Coria defeated Luca Van Assche 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Auckland qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
67
68
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
91
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Even
78
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1449
Surface ELO
7.7+232 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.5
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
77

Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 68%