Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAdelaide 2 Quarter-final

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Quarter-final
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Bautista Agut R.
6-3 6-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bautista Agut R.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
320

Roberto Bautista Agut defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-2 in the Adelaide 2 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Roberto Bautista Agut narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-5 6-2
2022-02-14DohaQFhardRoberto Bautista Agut6-1 6-1
2021-03-01RotterdamR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Bautista Agut R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bautista Agut R.Davidovich Fokina A.
23
Serve
40
28
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
75
95
Deciding sets·Even
87
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1668
Surface ELO
6.9+174 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1893
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.0
Surface form
0.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
79

Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast