Alexei Popyrin vs Yibing WuAdelaide 1 Qualifying Round 2

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#106ATP
1743ELO
1741Hard ELO
$472kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWLLW
Popyrin A.
6-4 3-6 7-5
Wu Y.
Popyrin A.
6372
Wu Y.
4651

Alexei Popyrin defeated Yibing Wu 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the Adelaide 1 qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yibing Wu came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Yibing Wu in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexei Popyrin closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR32hardYibing Wu7-5 5-7 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Wu Y.

Wu Y.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Wu Y.
41
Serve
28
11
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 111). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
82
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
6
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
6.2+60 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
67

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Wu Y.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast