Cameron Norrie vs Rafael NadalUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Norrie C.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Nadal R.
Norrie C.
3662
Nadal R.
6341

Cameron Norrie defeated Rafael Nadal 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 5–0. Cameron Norrie claimed a first win over Rafael Nadal in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15BastadR16clayRafael Nadal6-4 6-4
2022-02-21AcapulcoFhardRafael Nadal6-4 6-4
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayRafael Nadal6-3 6-3 6-3
2021-04-19BarcelonaQFclayRafael Nadal6-1 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR32hardRafael Nadal7-5 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Nadal R.
45
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (193 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
97
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.3
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw