Karolina Muchova vs Elena Gabriela RuseAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · WTA · Round of 16
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#71WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Muchova K.
6-4 6-1
Ruse E.
Muchova K.
662
Ruse E.
410

Karolina Muchova defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-4 6-1 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-26Bad HomburgSFgrassKarolina Muchova4-6 4-6

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ruse E.

Ruse E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Ruse E.
70
Serve
0
44
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 161). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
66
Break points saved·Dominant
98
72
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 51 days (−0.7)
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
8.9+280 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1754
8.5Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1850
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
97

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Ruse E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 32 km/hHumidity 68%