Sebastian Korda vs Jannik SinnerAdelaide 1 Quarter-final

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Quarter-final
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Korda S.
7-5 6-1
Sinner J.
Korda S.
762
Sinner J.
510

Sebastian Korda defeated Jannik Sinner 7-5 6-1 in the Adelaide 1 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Sebastian Korda claimed a first win over Jannik Sinner in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR32clayJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2021-08-02WashingtonR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Sinner J.
61
Serve
100
58
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
74%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.8
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
100
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
73
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
0.1Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
9.9+498 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
43

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast