Madison Keys vs Magda LinetteUnited Cup Semi-final

United Cup · WTA · Semi-final
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#59WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Keys M.
6-4 6-2
Linette M.
Keys M.
662
Linette M.
420

Madison Keys defeated Magda Linette 6-4 6-2 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20StrasbourgQFclayMadison Keys6-1 6-3
2023-04-03CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys6-2 3-6 6-1
2022-11-09BJK Cup Finals RR: USA vs POLRRhardMagda Linette6-4 4-6 6-2
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R64hardMadison Keys6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Linette M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Linette M.
36
Serve
26
29
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 173). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
86
Break points won·Clear edge
90
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 54 days (−0.7)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 53 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.7+140 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1780
6.8Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1831
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.4
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
98

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Linette M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast