Alexei Popyrin vs Marcos GironAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Round of 16
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#87ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
Popyrin A.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Giron M.
Popyrin A.
4662
Giron M.
6431

Alexei Popyrin defeated Marcos Giron 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marcos Giron came in ranked #87, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Marcos Giron in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardMarcos Giron5-7 6-3 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersQ2hardMarcos Giron6-4 6-7(10) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Giron M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Giron M.
41
Serve
29
11
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
5.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (171 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
59
62
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
6
42
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
56
Tiebreaks·Even
93
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
5.8+24 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1718
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.5
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
89

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Giron M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast