Ryan Peniston vs Damir Dzumhur — Noumea CH Quarter-final

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Ryan Peniston
GBR4
Ryan Peniston
#417ATP
1441ELO
1402Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
Damir Dzumhur
BIH7
Damir Dzumhur
#108ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLLW
Peniston R.
6-2 6-4
Dzumhur D.
Peniston R.
662
Dzumhur D.
240

Ryan Peniston defeated Damir Dzumhur 6-2 6-4 in the Noumea CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Damir Dzumhur came in ranked #108.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Peniston R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Peniston R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Peniston R.Dzumhur D.
—
Serve
2
—
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Peniston R.Dzumhur D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Peniston R.Dzumhur D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
70
Break points saved·Dominant
60
87
Break points won·Dominant
25
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Peniston R.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Dzumhur D.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1402
Surface ELO
7.5+194 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1441
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1638
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Peniston R.Dzumhur D.
Freshness·
—
76

Dzumhur D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Brancaccio R.
Lokoli L.
4-67-56-2
Semi-finals
Lokoli L.
Peniston R.[4]
W/O
Brancaccio R.
Garin C.[1]
1-66-46-3
Quarter-finals
Lokoli L.
Statham J.
6-756-36-2
Peniston R.[4]
Dzumhur D.[7]
6-26-4
Brancaccio R.
Paire B.[6]
5-76-06-3
Garin C.[1]
Diaz Acosta F.
7-57-5
R16
Diaz Acosta F.
Bonadio R.[8]
6-37-64
Paire B.[6]
Ellis B.
3-66-16-3
Peniston R.[4]
Sinclair C.
4-66-46-3
Dzumhur D.[7]
Chazal M.
6-16-3
Brancaccio R.
Piros Z.[3]
6-26-1
Lokoli L.
Grenier H.[2]
4-66-36-0
Statham J.
Blancaneaux G.[5]
7-664-66-4
Garin C.[1]
Fancutt T.
6-36-3
R32
Chazal M.
Marcora R.
6-36-3
Blancaneaux G.[5]
Barrios Vera T.
2-66-36-2
Peniston R.[4]
Uchida K.
6-776-46-2
Sinclair C.
Rai A.
7-56-4
Grenier H.[2]
Mansouri S.
4-66-36-2
Statham J.
Olivieri G.
6-36-4
Piros Z.[3]
Mott B.
6-46-2
Diaz Acosta F.
Walkin B.
6-36-4
Fancutt T.
Hong S.
6-43-66-3
Garin C.[1]
Delaney J.
6-46-2
Bonadio R.[8]
Matsui T.
6-36-3
Lokoli L.
Serdarusic N.
6-41-66-0
Ellis B.
Escobedo E.
7-622-66-4
Brancaccio R.
Puttergill C.
6-06-3
Dzumhur D.[7]
Jin J.
6-36-3