Novak Djokovic vs Sebastian KordaAdelaide 1 Final

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Final
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Djokovic N.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Korda S.
Djokovic N.
687762
Korda S.
7106341

Novak Djokovic defeated Sebastian Korda 6-7 7-6 6-4 in the Adelaide 1 final on hard. The result followed the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Novak Djokovic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Djokovic N.Korda S.
68
Serve
61
62
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
8.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
99
87
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
99
73
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.9+257 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1765
7.0Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1809
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.4
Surface form
6.6
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
49

Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast