Raul Brancaccio vs Cristian Garin — Noumea CH Semi-final

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Raul Brancaccio
ITA
Raul Brancaccio
#230ATP
1492ELO
1422Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
Cristian Garin
CHI1
Cristian Garin
#141ATP
1667ELO
1572Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Brancaccio R.
1-6 6-4 6-3
Garin C.
Brancaccio R.
1662
Garin C.
6431

Raul Brancaccio defeated Cristian Garin 1-6 6-4 6-3 in the Noumea CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cristian Garin came in ranked #141.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Brancaccio R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Brancaccio R.

Serve advantage — Garin C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Brancaccio R.Garin C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Brancaccio R.Garin C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
63
Break points saved·Dominant
49
94
Break points won·Dominant
19
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
51
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brancaccio R.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Garin C.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1422
Surface ELO
6.9+151 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1667
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Brancaccio R.Garin C.
Freshness·
62
—

Brancaccio R.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Brancaccio R.
Lokoli L.
4-67-56-2
Semi-finals
Lokoli L.
Peniston R.[4]
W/O
Brancaccio R.
Garin C.[1]
1-66-46-3
Quarter-finals
Lokoli L.
Statham J.
6-756-36-2
Peniston R.[4]
Dzumhur D.[7]
6-26-4
Brancaccio R.
Paire B.[6]
5-76-06-3
Garin C.[1]
Diaz Acosta F.
7-57-5
R16
Diaz Acosta F.
Bonadio R.[8]
6-37-64
Paire B.[6]
Ellis B.
3-66-16-3
Peniston R.[4]
Sinclair C.
4-66-46-3
Dzumhur D.[7]
Chazal M.
6-16-3
Brancaccio R.
Piros Z.[3]
6-26-1
Lokoli L.
Grenier H.[2]
4-66-36-0
Statham J.
Blancaneaux G.[5]
7-664-66-4
Garin C.[1]
Fancutt T.
6-36-3
R32
Chazal M.
Marcora R.
6-36-3
Blancaneaux G.[5]
Barrios Vera T.
2-66-36-2
Peniston R.[4]
Uchida K.
6-776-46-2
Sinclair C.
Rai A.
7-56-4
Grenier H.[2]
Mansouri S.
4-66-36-2
Statham J.
Olivieri G.
6-36-4
Piros Z.[3]
Mott B.
6-46-2
Diaz Acosta F.
Walkin B.
6-36-4
Fancutt T.
Hong S.
6-43-66-3
Garin C.[1]
Delaney J.
6-46-2
Bonadio R.[8]
Matsui T.
6-36-3
Lokoli L.
Serdarusic N.
6-41-66-0
Ellis B.
Escobedo E.
7-622-66-4
Brancaccio R.
Puttergill C.
6-06-3
Dzumhur D.[7]
Jin J.
6-36-3