Taylor Fritz vs Matteo BerrettiniUnited Cup Final

United Cup · ATP · Final
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Fritz T.
7-6 7-6
Berrettini M.
Fritz T.
77782
Berrettini M.
64660

Taylor Fritz defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 7-6 in the United Cup final on hard. The result followed the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Taylor Fritz extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersQFhardTaylor Fritz7-5 6-7(7) 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(1) 6-1
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz6-4 6-3
2019-11-20Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs ITARRhardTaylor Fritz5-7 7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fritz T.Berrettini M.
76
Serve
57
32
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
70%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
69%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.5
9.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
81
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
60
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.6+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1797
6.9Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1831
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
7.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
67
76

Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw

Final
Fritz T.[3]
Berrettini M.[5]
7-647-66
Tiafoe F.
Musetti L.
6-20-0