Aryna Sabalenka vs Irina Camelia BeguAdelaide 1 Semi-final

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#173WTA
1769ELO
1686Hard ELO
35 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-2
Begu I.
Sabalenka A.
662
Begu I.
320

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Irina Camelia Begu 6-3 6-2 in the Adelaide 1 semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka claimed a first win over Irina Camelia Begu in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardIrina Camelia Begu6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Begu I.

Begu I.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Begu I.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
68
Break points saved·Dominant
98
58
Break points won·Clear edge
100
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 98 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+515 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1686
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1769
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
98

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Begu I.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast