Sebastian Korda vs Roberto Bautista AgutAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Korda S.
6-4 6-4
Bautista Agut R.
Korda S.
662
Bautista Agut R.
440

Sebastian Korda defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 6-4 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Sebastian Korda extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR64hardSebastian Korda6-7(2) 6-3 6-4
2022-10-10GijonR16hardSebastian Korda5-7 6-4 6-4
2021-06-14HalleR32grassSebastian Korda6-3 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Bautista Agut R.
61
Serve
23
58
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
85
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
73
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
87
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.5+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1668
7.4Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1700
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast