Yosuke Watanuki vs Jurij Rodionov — Canberra CH Round of 16

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Yosuke Watanuki
JPN
Yosuke Watanuki
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 1 January 2023
hard
Jurij Rodionov
AUT7
Jurij Rodionov
#143ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$205kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Watanuki Y.
6-4 5-7 7-6
Rodionov J.
Watanuki Y.
65782
Rodionov J.
47661

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Jurij Rodionov 6-4 5-7 7-6 in the Canberra CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jurij Rodionov came in ranked #143, but Yosuke Watanuki had arrived on a 10-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rodionov J.

Rodionov J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watanuki Y.Rodionov J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watanuki Y.Rodionov J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
40
Break points saved·Even
89
89
Break points won·Even
20
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
61
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
54

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watanuki Y.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 41 days (−1.0)
Rodionov J.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 34 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.1+53 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
6.0
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watanuki Y.Rodionov J.
Freshness·Clear edge
94
75

Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rodionov J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Fucsovics M.[1]
Riedi L.
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Riedi L.
Struff J.
7-665-76-2
Fucsovics M.[1]
Watanuki Y.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Fucsovics M.[1]
Polmans M.
3-66-47-5
Struff J.
Couacaud E.
6-46-2
Watanuki Y.
Gombos N.[4]
7-56-4
Riedi L.
Broady L.
5-76-46-4
R16
Struff J.
Muller A.
6-36-736-4
Riedi L.
Gaston H.[3]
6-46-2
Couacaud E.
Mccabe J.
6-16-1
Gombos N.[4]
Kovalik J.
6-37-64
Polmans M.
Sweeny D.
7-57-62
Fucsovics M.[1]
Arnaldi M.
6-23-66-1
Broady L.
Nardi L.
6-756-46-1
Watanuki Y.
Rodionov J.[7]
6-45-77-66
R32
Riedi L.
Jarry N.
7-647-65
Nardi L.
Klein L.
7-56-2
Broady L.
Passaro F.[6]
6-37-62
Kovalik J.
Klahn B.
6-43-67-61
Watanuki Y.
Van Assche L.
4-66-46-3
Mccabe J.
Agamenone F.
6-36-1
Muller A.
Nava E.
6-06-4
Struff J.
Delbonis F.[8]
6-34-66-0
Gaston H.[3]
Vukic A.
6-37-65
Rodionov J.[7]
Brouwer G.
2-67-677-67
Sweeny D.
Kotov P.[5]
6-46-1
Polmans M.
Krueger M.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Shevchenko A.
6-46-1
Fucsovics M.[1]
Maestrelli F.
6-26-3
Couacaud E.
Gomez E.[2]
7-57-5
Gombos N.[4]
Misolic F.
7-666-4