Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel DialloCanberra CH Qualifying Round 2

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 1 January 2023
hard
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Maestrelli F.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Diallo G.
Maestrelli F.
37762
Diallo G.
66541

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Gabriel Diallo 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Canberra CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Gabriel Diallo came in ranked #93.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Serve advantage — Diallo G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maestrelli F.Diallo G.
Serve
38
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
8.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Slight edge
14
24
Deciding sets·Even
83
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 62 days (−1.2)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
6.5+128 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1716
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
89

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Diallo G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast