Liam Broady vs Andrea PellegrinoCanberra CH Qualifying Round 2

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#198ATP
1590ELO
1577Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 1 January 2023
hard
#138ATP
1674ELO
1422Hard ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Broady L.
6-3 6-2
Pellegrino A.
Broady L.
662
Pellegrino A.
320

Liam Broady defeated Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-2 in the Canberra CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrea Pellegrino came in ranked #138.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Broady L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Broady L.

Serve advantage — Broady L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
57
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
67
Break points won·Slight edge
29
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 55 days (−0.7)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.9+155 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1422
5.8Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
2.6
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
86

Broady L.: played today · 4 matches, 101 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast