Yosuke Watanuki vs Luca Van AsscheCanberra CH Round of 32

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 1 January 2023
hard
#86ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
Watanuki Y.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Van Assche L.
Watanuki Y.
4662
Van Assche L.
6431

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Luca Van Assche 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Canberra CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86, but Yosuke Watanuki had arrived on a 10-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
68
Break points saved·Even
89
91
Break points won·Dominant
20
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
61
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 41 days (−1.0)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 34 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
6.6+151 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1701
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
10.0
Surface form
7.6
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
77

Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast