Yosuke Watanuki vs Sho ShimabukuroKobe CH Round of 16

Kobe CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 November 2022
hard
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Watanuki Y.
6-4 6-2
Shimabukuro S.
Watanuki Y.
662
Shimabukuro S.
420

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Sho Shimabukuro 6-4 6-2 in the Kobe CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
42
Break points saved·Even
89
88
Break points won·Slight edge
20
31
Deciding sets·Slight edge
61
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.2+76 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1672
4.6No prior meetings
H2H
5.4
6.1
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
5.2
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
96

Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Shimabukuro S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast