Naoki Nakagawa vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Kobe CH Round of 32

Kobe CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
JPN
Naoki Nakagawa
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 November 2022
hard
Shintaro Mochizuki
JPN
Shintaro Mochizuki
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Nakagawa N.
6-4 6-2
Mochizuki S.
Nakagawa N.
662
Mochizuki S.
420

Naoki Nakagawa defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 6-2 in the Kobe CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakagawa N.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nakagawa N.Mochizuki S.
1st serve in·Even
55%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (122 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nakagawa N.Mochizuki S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
57
74
Break points won·Dominant
1
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nakagawa N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Mochizuki S.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1271
Surface ELO
7.1+154 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1289
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
3.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nakagawa N.Mochizuki S.
Freshness·
—
86

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Watanuki Y.[7]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-737-56-4
Semi-finals
Watanuki Y.[7]
Oconnell C.[1]
6-47-66
Ferreira Silva F.
Serdarusic N.
6-43-66-3
Quarter-finals
Oconnell C.[1]
Polmans M.
7-57-63
Watanuki Y.[7]
Ramanathan R.
7-56-1
Serdarusic N.
Millman J.[2]
7-627-5
Ferreira Silva F.
Hazawa S.
2-66-37-64
R16
Millman J.[2]
Imai S.
6-16-4
Serdarusic N.
Dzumhur D.[6]
4-66-16-3
Ferreira Silva F.
Hijikata R.[3]
6-46-2
Hazawa S.
Nakagawa N.
6-46-4
Watanuki Y.[7]
Shimabukuro S.
6-46-2
Ramanathan R.
Jung J.
2-66-04-0
Polmans M.
Kolar Z.
6-16-4
Oconnell C.[1]
Zhukayev B.
6-26-756-1
R32
Kolar Z.
Ito T.
6-32-0
Shimabukuro S.
Uchiyama Y.
5-1
Oconnell C.[1]
Sinclair C.
6-777-6107-63
Imai S.
Moriya H.
6-46-3
Serdarusic N.
Ionel N.
6-36-776-2
Hijikata R.[3]
Sweeny D.
6-31-66-2
Hazawa S.
Duckworth J.[5]
6-46-4
Jung J.
Noguchi R.
3-66-46-1
Zhukayev B.
Sugita Y.
4-66-46-4
Millman J.[2]
Jianu F.
6-33-66-4
Watanuki Y.[7]
Chung Y.
6-26-2
Dzumhur D.[6]
Ichikawa T.
6-46-3
Polmans M.
Tu L.[8]
6-736-26-3
Ramanathan R.
Uchida K.[4]
6-44-66-3
Nakagawa N.
Mochizuki S.
6-46-2
Ferreira Silva F.
Ly N.
6-26-4