Dominic Stricker vs Lorenzo MusettiNextGen Finals Round Robin

NextGen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#343ATP
1533ELO
1509Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 November 2022
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Stricker D.
4-3 4-3 3-4 3-4 4-3
Musetti L.
Stricker D.
47483736473
Musetti L.
35364948332

Dominic Stricker defeated Lorenzo Musetti 4-3 4-3 3-4 3-4 4-3 in the NextGen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round-robin.

Key context

  • Match story: Dominic Stricker edged a tight contest from start to finish — 4–3 4–3 3–4 3–4 4–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Stricker D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Stricker D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stricker D.Musetti L.
Serve
54
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (188 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
98
Break points won·Dominant
9
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.2Hard Elo 1509
Surface ELO
9.8+295 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1533
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1869
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
5.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Stricker D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast