Francesco Passaro vs Matteo ArnaldiNextGen Finals Round Robin

NextGen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#185ATP
1592ELO
1562Hard ELO
$88kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 November 2022
hard
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Passaro F.
4-3 2-4 3-4 4-3 4-3
Arnaldi M.
Passaro F.
49234474103
Arnaldi M.
3744734382

Francesco Passaro defeated Matteo Arnaldi 4-3 2-4 3-4 4-3 4-3 in the NextGen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

  • Match story: Francesco Passaro edged a tight contest from start to finish — 4–3 2–4 3–4 4–3 4–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Passaro F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Passaro F.

Serve advantage — Passaro F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Passaro F.Arnaldi M.
Serve
23
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
97
Break points won·Dominant
11
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1562
Surface ELO
6.3+171 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
95

Passaro F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast