

Holger Rune defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Holger Rune claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-10 | Monte Carlo Masters | F | clay | Andrey Rublev | 5-7 6-2 7-5 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-6(9) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.