Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tommy PaulParis Masters Quarter-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Tsitsipas S.
6-2 6-4
Paul T.
Tsitsipas S.
662
Paul T.
240

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 6-4 in the Paris Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 32. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-17LyonR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-4
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Paul T.
57
Serve
71
39
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
77
87
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1803
Surface ELO
5.7+79 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.1
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
86

Tsitsipas S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%