Tommy Paul vs Rafael Nadal — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
ESP2
Rafael Nadal
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Paul T.
3-6 7-6 6-1
Nadal R.
Paul T.
37762
Nadal R.
66411

Tommy Paul defeated Rafael Nadal 3-6 7-6 6-1 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Rafael Nadal in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-21AcapulcoQFhardRafael Nadal6-0 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Nadal R.
71
Serve
—
54
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Nadal R.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Nadal R.
Clutch Rating·Even
93
97
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Nadal R.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Nadal R.
Freshness·
86
—

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Final
Rune H.
Djokovic N.[6]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-16-4
Djokovic N.[6]
Musetti L.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Paul T.
6-26-4
Rune H.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-36-6
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-16-3
Rune H.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
De Minaur A.
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Simon G.
6-16-3
Djokovic N.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Ruud C.[3]
4-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Moutet C.
6-37-63
Paul T.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Fognini F.
6-07-5
Rune H.
Hurkacz H.[10]
7-56-1
Rublev A.[7]
Isner J.
6-26-3
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
Draper J.
6-37-5
Simon G.
Fritz T.[9]
7-55-76-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ymer M.
6-766-47-66
Djokovic N.[6]
Cressy M.
7-616-4
Khachanov K.
Huesler M.
6-34-66-4
Musetti L.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[3]
Gasquet R.
6-17-67
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Moutet C.
Norrie C.[12]
6-35-77-63
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Shapovalov D.
7-622-66-4
Paul T.
Nadal R.[2]
3-67-646-1
R64
Norrie C.[12]
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-4
Nishioka Y.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Fils A.
7-656-746-2
Rune H.
Wawrinka S.
4-67-57-63
Isner J.
Otte O.
6-47-63
De Minaur A.
Korda S.
6-44-66-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-2
Cressy M.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-3
Khachanov K.
Baez S.
6-16-1
Huesler M.
Sinner J.[11]
6-26-3
Musetti L.
Cilic M.[15]
6-46-4
Basilashvili N.
Halys Q.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Molcan A.
6-36-1
Evans D.
Nakashima B.
6-33-66-4
Moutet C.
Coric B.
3-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Ramos A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.
Cerundolo F.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Hurkacz H.[10]
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Simon G.
Murray A.
4-67-56-3
Ymer M.
Bublik A.
6-16-726-4