Hubert Hurkacz vs Adrian MannarinoParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Hurkacz H.
7-6 6-4
Mannarino A.
Hurkacz H.
7762
Mannarino A.
6540

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-6 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, defending last year's round of 32. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01United CupSFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-5
2023-03-20Miami MastersR32hardAdrian Mannarino7-6(5) 7-6(0)
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-2 6-3
2021-03-01RotterdamR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Mannarino A.
67
Serve
37
0
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
40
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+79 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1647
6.9Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1673
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.9
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.5
Minutes 14d
7.1
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.0
Country comfort
6.5
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
68
69

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%