Daniel Evans vs Brandon Nakashima — Paris Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Daniel Evans
GBR
Daniel Evans
#385ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
Brandon Nakashima
USA
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Evans D.
6-3 3-6 6-4
Nakashima B.
Evans D.
6362
Nakashima B.
3641

Daniel Evans defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-3 3-6 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Daniel Evans claimed a first win over Brandon Nakashima in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Evans closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubR16grassBrandon Nakashima7-5 7-6(4)
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassBrandon Nakashima4-6 6-3 0-0 RET
2024-04-15BarcelonaR64clayBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 6-2
2021-08-02WashingtonR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(1) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Evans D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Evans D.Nakashima B.
—
Serve
61
—
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Evans D.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Evans D.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
56
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
61
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
64
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Evans D.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1562
Surface ELO
7.5+226 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1839
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.1
Minutes 14d
7.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Evans D.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Evans D.: 17 days rest · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Final
Rune H.
Djokovic N.[6]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-16-4
Djokovic N.[6]
Musetti L.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Paul T.
6-26-4
Rune H.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-36-6
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-16-3
Rune H.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
De Minaur A.
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Simon G.
6-16-3
Djokovic N.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Ruud C.[3]
4-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Moutet C.
6-37-63
Paul T.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Fognini F.
6-07-5
Rune H.
Hurkacz H.[10]
7-56-1
Rublev A.[7]
Isner J.
6-26-3
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
Draper J.
6-37-5
Simon G.
Fritz T.[9]
7-55-76-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ymer M.
6-766-47-66
Djokovic N.[6]
Cressy M.
7-616-4
Khachanov K.
Huesler M.
6-34-66-4
Musetti L.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[3]
Gasquet R.
6-17-67
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Moutet C.
Norrie C.[12]
6-35-77-63
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Shapovalov D.
7-622-66-4
Paul T.
Nadal R.[2]
3-67-646-1
R64
Norrie C.[12]
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-4
Nishioka Y.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Fils A.
7-656-746-2
Rune H.
Wawrinka S.
4-67-57-63
Isner J.
Otte O.
6-47-63
De Minaur A.
Korda S.
6-44-66-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-2
Cressy M.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-3
Khachanov K.
Baez S.
6-16-1
Huesler M.
Sinner J.[11]
6-26-3
Musetti L.
Cilic M.[15]
6-46-4
Basilashvili N.
Halys Q.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Molcan A.
6-36-1
Evans D.
Nakashima B.
6-33-66-4
Moutet C.
Coric B.
3-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Ramos A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.
Cerundolo F.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Hurkacz H.[10]
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Simon G.
Murray A.
4-67-56-3
Ymer M.
Bublik A.
6-16-726-4