Federico Coria vs Juan Pablo VarillasGuayaquil CH Semi-final

Guayaquil CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Coria F.
6-4 2-6 7-6
Varillas J.
Coria F.
62772
Varillas J.
46641

Federico Coria defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 2-6 7-6 in the Guayaquil CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Federico Coria claimed a first win over Juan Pablo Varillas in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Coria closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-03-08SantiagoR16clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-4 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
71
80
Break points won·Dominant
72
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
63
Tiebreaks·Even
76
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+84 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1431
6.1Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1440
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.4
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.0
Minutes 14d
5.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
62

Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast