Denis Shapovalov vs Francisco CerundoloParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Shapovalov D.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Shapovalov D.
62662
Cerundolo F.
77341

Denis Shapovalov defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-10Davis Cup Finals RR: CAN vs ARGRRhardDenis Shapovalov7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Cerundolo F.
25
Serve
13
70
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.2
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
71
86
Deciding sets·Even
92
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
6.0+105 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.6
Minutes 14d
5.8
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%