Mikael Ymer vs Alexander Bublik — Paris Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
SWE
Mikael Ymer
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Ymer M.
6-1 6-7 6-4
Bublik A.
Ymer M.
66262
Bublik A.
17741

Mikael Ymer defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-7 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Mikael Ymer claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Mikael Ymer came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-11-27Davis Cup Finals RR: KAZ vs SWERRhardAlexander Bublik3-6 6-4 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ymer M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ymer M.Bublik A.
—
Serve
65
—
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ymer M.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ymer M.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Even
71
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ymer M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Bublik A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ymer M.Bublik A.
Freshness·
—
66

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Final
Rune H.
Djokovic N.[6]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-16-4
Djokovic N.[6]
Musetti L.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Paul T.
6-26-4
Rune H.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-36-6
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-16-3
Rune H.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
De Minaur A.
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Simon G.
6-16-3
Djokovic N.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Ruud C.[3]
4-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Moutet C.
6-37-63
Paul T.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Fognini F.
6-07-5
Rune H.
Hurkacz H.[10]
7-56-1
Rublev A.[7]
Isner J.
6-26-3
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
Draper J.
6-37-5
Simon G.
Fritz T.[9]
7-55-76-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ymer M.
6-766-47-66
Djokovic N.[6]
Cressy M.
7-616-4
Khachanov K.
Huesler M.
6-34-66-4
Musetti L.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[3]
Gasquet R.
6-17-67
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Moutet C.
Norrie C.[12]
6-35-77-63
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Shapovalov D.
7-622-66-4
Paul T.
Nadal R.[2]
3-67-646-1
R64
Norrie C.[12]
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-4
Nishioka Y.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Fils A.
7-656-746-2
Rune H.
Wawrinka S.
4-67-57-63
Isner J.
Otte O.
6-47-63
De Minaur A.
Korda S.
6-44-66-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-2
Cressy M.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-3
Khachanov K.
Baez S.
6-16-1
Huesler M.
Sinner J.[11]
6-26-3
Musetti L.
Cilic M.[15]
6-46-4
Basilashvili N.
Halys Q.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Molcan A.
6-36-1
Evans D.
Nakashima B.
6-33-66-4
Moutet C.
Coric B.
3-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Ramos A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.
Cerundolo F.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Hurkacz H.[10]
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Simon G.
Murray A.
4-67-56-3
Ymer M.
Bublik A.
6-16-726-4