Holger Rune vs Felix Auger AliassimeParis Masters Semi-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Rune H.
6-4 6-2
Auger Aliassime F.
Rune H.
662
Auger Aliassime F.
420

Holger Rune defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 6-2 in the Paris Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-23BaselSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-4
2022-10-24BaselFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Auger Aliassime F.
47
Serve
74
58
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
9.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
84
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
84
50
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
7.5+208 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1958
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.9
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
10.013-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
0.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64