Carlos Alcaraz vs Yoshihito NishiokaParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
Nishioka Y.
Alcaraz C.
662
Nishioka Y.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-4 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Nishioka Y.
75
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Dominant
99
59
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+429 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1659
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1689
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
3.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%