Stan Wawrinka vs Brandon NakashimaBasel Round of 16

Basel · ATP · Round of 16
#109ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2022
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Wawrinka S.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Nakashima B.
Wawrinka S.
6562
Nakashima B.
4741

Stan Wawrinka defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the Basel round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31. Stan Wawrinka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Stan Wawrinka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14StockholmR32hardStan Wawrinka6-4 6-4
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR64hardStan Wawrinka6-3 6-7(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Wawrinka S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Wawrinka S.Nakashima B.
48
Serve
61
8
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
30
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
64
Tiebreaks·Even
90
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1664
Surface ELO
6.3+124 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1678
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
84

Wawrinka S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast