Alex Molcan vs Mackenzie McdonaldBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2022
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Molcan A.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Mcdonald M.
Molcan A.
5672
Mcdonald M.
7451

Alex Molcan defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Molcan extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-08Canada MastersR64hardAlex Molcan7-6(1) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Molcan A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Molcan A.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (195 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Slight edge
61
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1604
6.2Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1606
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.5
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
1.9
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
89

Molcan A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast